PLAIN TALK

 

 

Leonard Horwin                                                                                                                     October 13, 2004

(310) 785-6600 tel.                                                                                                                    

(310) 785-6644 fax

plaintalk@linkline.com                    

http://www.leonardhorwinplaintalk.com        

 

                                                               

 

                                   Where Does the Presidential Debate of October 8, 2004 Take Us?

 

Questions and Answers are cited below as “Q” and “A”

 


1.        Q:   Is there a clear winner here?

 

A:   No.  It is a mixed “bag.”

 

2.        Q:   Is there a clear better voice?

 

A:   Yes.  Probably because of careful coaching by Karl Rove since the essentially  first presidential debate, –this time Bush comes out with his chest  thrust forward, almost like an aggressive rooster and therefore enhancing the plausibility of his points.

 

3.        Q:   And as to Kerry?

 

A:   He remains a somewhat uninspiring, but highly plausible reactor to the nation’s problems.

 

4.        Q:   Did anything come out clearly from the debate?

 

A:   Yes.

 

5.        Q:   What?

 

A:   That the nation is in very deep trouble, and despite Mr. Bush’s renewed confidence, he leaves unanswered the question: “Aren’t you simply asking our  highly troubled nation to accept ‘more of the same’ instead of a  basic change?”

 

In substance, that is Bush’s wish.

 

6.        Q:   What does this really mean?

 

A:   It means that the choice between the presidential candidates is so troubled that  any signal event between now and November could throw the election one way or the other.

 

7.        Q:   What do you mean by that?

 

A:   Suppose for example, that bin Laden or one of his fellow chieftains were to be captured by the allied forces between now and the election.

 

8.        Q:   What influence would that have?

 

A:   Probably it would throw the election in Mr. Bush’s direction, with the nation now thinking that “more of the same,”  may be equivalent to capture or killing of the  principal terrorists.

 


9.        Q:   What other events between now and the election could throw the election one way or the other?

 

A:   If the national economy, –despite the President’s unwise moves and mistakes, were nevertheless to show a big move upwards.

 

10.   Q:   What would that do?

 

A:   It would give a valuable psychological lift to the economy which would translate into a victory for the incumbents

 

11.   Q:   So, your overall conclusion?

 

A:   Wait and see!

 

                            * * *

 

cc:  George W. Bush, President  

Richard Cheney, Vice President

John Kerry, Senator & Presidential Candidate

John Edwards, Senator and VP Candidate

Colin Powell, Secretary of State

       Donald Rumsfeld, Secretary of Defense

Condoleezza Rice, National Security

Advisor

Colonel Oliver North

Tom Ridge, Secretary of Homeland

Security

John Ashcroft, U.S. Attorney General

Tony Blair, Prime Minister of Great Britain

Jack Straw, British Foreign Secretary

Newt Gingrich, Former Speaker of the

U.S. House of Representatives

Ariel Sharon, Prime Minister of Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu, Economy Minister      

for the Israeli Government

Israel’s  “Women In Green”

National Unity Coalition for Israel

Arianna Huffington, Syndicated

Columnist

Oriana Fallaci, International Journalist,

Interviewer and Author

Yohanan Ramati, Chairman, Jerusalem

Institute for Western Defense

Gerardo Joffe, FLAME (Facts & Logic

About the Middle East)

Mortimer Zuckerman, Editor in Chief -

US News and World Report

Time Magazine                         

Washington Post - Attn: Bob Woodward

International Jerusalem Post

The Weekly Standard – Bill Kristol, Editor

The Wall Street Journal - Editorial and

p-Ed Department

Los Angeles Times, Op-Ed Department

Dr. and Mrs. Jordan Phillips,

Medical Books for China International